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"Secrets of Fibonacci Trading" by Frank Miller Book Review: Profile Traders

You must be wondering why I am losing money or not being profitable even with a back-tested system.

Well, back-tested systems work well when market dynamics remain the same. With market dynamics ever-changing, your trading system needs to be optimized.

Fibonacci techniques discussed in this book will help you be profitable and use techniques used by successful professionals.

Secrets of Fibonacci Trading Mastering Fibonacci techniques in less than 3 days By Frank Miller Book Review

Why Should I Even Consider Fibonacci to Trade?

Frank explains with an example of how Fibonacci numbers and levels are far better than lagging indicators.

They help you make your trading decisions in a far more efficient manner. Fibonacci levels help you look into probable prospects even before you get there.

Sure, Fibonacci levels are plotted based on previous levels, but they help you make trading decisions more efficiently.

Image - Lagging Indicators vs Fibonacci Indicator
Image - Lagging Indicators vs Fibonacci Indicator

This is what differentiates professionals from the rest. Retail traders enter when the professionals have already covered half the journey and exit late when professionals have offloaded much earlier than you.

Some basics on Fibonacci numbers and price behavior are described to better relate to the content shared in the later part of the book.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Frank explains how to draw Fibonacci retracement levels that will help you with your trading decisions. The explanation is backed by pictorial views of line and candlestick charts for ease of understanding.

I have included a weekly chart of Bank nifty right from the lows of March 2020. You will be amazed to see that the retracement level from the last high made in Bank nifty was at 61.8% retracement level.

Image - Fibonacci Important Levels
Image - Fibonacci Important Levels

How to Trade Based on Fibonacci Retracement Levels?

Though Fibonacci levels are not a buy or sell signal, they give you an edge to read the right side of the chart before it is formed. You may use your trade set up, and the Fibonacci levels give you an edge to trade based on these levels.

Professional traders use these levels to trade as they are time-tested and tend to work better than lagging indicators.

Frank shares 3 options to trade based on Fibonacci retracement levels. An example shared is of the 61.8% retracement level.

  1. If you are willing to take a bigger risk, then you can initiate a trade when the price reaches 61.8%

  2. Wait to see how the price reacts at this level to initiate a trade.

  3. Conservative traders may look for a confirmation of a smaller break of recent LH on the upside.

Placing stop losses depend on one’s risk appetite or how long the target horizon is. Possible places where you place your stop loss are the lower retracement levels on an up-trend and the higher level on a down-trend.

When the price breaks the initial swing, then there is something seriously wrong, and the trend might just be changing.

Frank also explains how to use retracement levels along with trend lines and support or resistance. A combination of these two tools will increase your accuracy because you have the benefit of confirmation from these two tools.

Fibonacci Projections

Fibonacci projections are another method to identify where the next move will either stop or pause for some time. Retail traders get their entries right but fail to know when to close their trades.

Frank says unless you close your trade, you are still not profitable. Traders tend to believe the notional profit is what they are making and overlook on uncertainty in the market.

  1. Fibonacci extension

  2. Fibonacci expansion

Fibonacci expansion and extension are similar tools that help you identify where to take your profits. He simply explains these concepts even a layman with some basic knowledge about trading can understand.

Visuals included with the examples make it easier for the reader to relate to the concept and for better learning.

Image 3 - Fibonacci extension and Fibonacci Expansion